Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 3.207140 3.703716 4.253276 4.906876 5.663496 6.512408 7.537991
2024-10-27 2.379007 2.983694 3.710689 4.650257 5.834369 7.279820 9.182540
2024-11-03 1.999348 2.694977 3.594150 4.844282 6.542277 8.775444 11.947780
2024-11-10 1.741811 2.504468 3.556471 5.118491 7.388485 10.582372 15.444787
2024-11-17 1.496229 2.280155 3.426727 5.233483 8.025104 12.201413 18.974109
2024-11-24 1.280543 2.057216 3.255275 5.248327 8.505136 13.658857 22.516004
2024-12-01 1.068121 1.800246 2.985599 5.057469 8.620848 14.557374 25.318568
2024-12-08 0.894121 1.574796 2.726969 4.834696 8.635075 15.274895 27.920982
2024-12-15 0.800540 1.469915 2.651688 4.909064 9.166206 16.948778 32.487901
2024-12-22 0.695241 1.326636 2.485617 4.789959 9.320676 17.959810 35.985381
2024-12-29 0.656822 1.301019 2.529099 5.067973 10.266978 20.596937 43.099661
2025-01-05 0.609698 1.250809 2.517270 5.233539 11.013386 22.952985 50.046026
2025-01-12 0.551206 1.171790 2.442790 5.272672 11.534340 24.993001 56.835160
2025-01-19 0.473762 1.041427 2.244234 5.018382 11.387506 25.600645 60.584864
2025-01-26 0.446458 1.015116 2.262099 5.242592 12.346234 28.813903 71.011595
2025-02-02 0.427470 1.004386 2.312442 5.549568 13.551787 32.806365 84.129422
2025-02-09 0.397837 0.964288 2.289928 5.680735 14.359026 35.994113 95.873299
2025-02-16 0.364575 0.910246 2.226396 5.700847 14.893528 38.602779 106.635150
2025-02-23 0.322703 0.828415 2.083245 5.495573 14.810660 39.617286 113.267558
2025-03-02 0.284395 0.749698 1.935926 5.254521 14.589031 40.222103 118.859157
2025-03-09 0.265900 0.720039 1.910018 5.336432 15.272128 43.422086 132.713124
2025-03-16 0.240051 0.666661 1.813705 5.207295 15.334176 44.884139 141.621203
2025-03-23 0.234260 0.667893 1.865546 5.510496 16.718075 50.444616 164.563060